Technical
Analysis
MONEYMAKING POTENTIAL SWING-HIGH
AND SWING-LOW COMMODITY TRADING TECHNIQUE
This valuable trading technique should help you greatly
in your trading, if applied properly. This "market
structure" trend direction method is basically
a pattern recognition method, which is amazingly simple,
but at the same time it's powerful.
It's the best way we have found to identify market
direction and define a bullishly or bearishly structured
market. It is based on the observation that if you look
at a bar chart of any market, you will see a bear market
consists of mostly a series of lower highs and a bull
market consists of mostly a series of higher lows.
These higher-lows and lower-highs are referred to
by Commodity Traders Club as Swing-Lows and
Swing-Highs, also known as Pivots, or Pivot-Points.
A swing-low is defined as a low day (or bar) with higher
prices both in front and behind the low day (or bar),
thus forming a swing-low. This swing-low must also be
above the previous swing-low, thus forming a higher
swing-low.
A swing-high is defined as a high day (or bar) with
lower prices both in front and behind the high day (or
bar) forming a swing-high. This swing-high must also
be under the prior swing-high thus forming a lower swing-high.
The concept of buying higher swing-lows or selling
lower swing highs are being used by the most successful
large traders. This concept has been used by them for
a very long time. These traders don't talk much about
this simple but potentially profitable technique. Very
few traders are familiar with this powerful, yet simple
technique.
Merely buying higher lows and selling lower highs by
themselves can dramatically improve your trading results.
You also need to know where to place a target so you
can get out of the market once your profit objective
is reached. You need to know where to place a protective
stop-loss if the trade is wrong. For this we strongly
recommend you use "Drawdown Minimizer Logic®"
which is explained in detail in CTCN Special Report
#2. Drawdown Minimizer Logic is a mathematical method
of sharply reducing drawdown based on past "adverse
excursions."
A sample chart showing how to use swing-highs and swing-lows
(a.k.a. market structure) to trade successfully is here
- click now to view.
The concept of only selling short providing a LOWER
"Swing-High" has occurred, and only buying
upon the occurrence of a HIGHER "Swing-Low"
can be very profitable.
This method appears highly profitable when used on
old charts, using some subjectivity on the past data.
Old charts and hindsight combine to make it look highly
profitable. However, doing it in real-time trading is
more difficult.
Selling providing there are 2 or 3 lower days (or bars),
instead of just one on each side of a high point qualifies
as a more significant Swing-High, and can be very profitable.
Of course, the reverse is true for a Swing-Low buy.
The more days (or bars) on each side of the swing day
(or bar) is better to more clearly define the Swing-High
and Swing-Low.
The problem is the fact the more days (or bars) on
each side there are, it's likely more of the move is
over by the time we can get into the market. Conversely,
the fewer days (or bars) of each side of the pivot bar
means the move has likely not progressed far. However,
it's more likely to be a false or minor Swing- High/Low
and consequently less profitable, or a loser.
It's fairly easy to identify and draw buy and sell
arrows/dots at Swing-High and Swing-Low points on charts.
However, doing it in real-time trading is not as easy
as it appears on a back-data bar chart.
Nevertheless, the Swing-High and Swing-Low concepts
(a.k.a. Market Structure) are in our opinion the best
trend identification tool for trading the commodity
futures markets successfully. It will "work"
in any market, the actual market makes little difference.
Of course, as always, trending markets make it work
a lot better.
The concept of buying/selling Swing-Lows/Swing-Highs
is simple and can be amazingly successful but needs
to be combined with a good stop-loss method to give
you protection on false signals. It's recommended you
use CTCN's copyright "Drawdown Minimizer Logic®"
to scientifically set stop-loss levels.
P.S. - This profit potential and informative Special
Report is regularly priced at $50.00 (but free to traders
via this website). It may seem like too much money for
a few pages of information. However, you should not
judge something by its size but by its content and value.
Swing- Highs & Swing-Lows are actually worth a great
deal of money. It will help you greatly in your trading.
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